Timing is everything in F1 betting. You might spot the right driver to win, but...

https://trevorssuperbnews.hexaforgey.com/posts/is-there-a-best-day-to-bet-f1-or-does-it-depend-on-the-market

Timing is everything in F1 betting. You might spot the right driver to win, but if the odds shift from +500 down to +190 before you place your bet, that winner pick turns into a weaker payout